Lok Sabha bellwether seats
Historical election results Official outcomes as published by the Election Commission of India, compiled by third parties and not verified by VotingBharat.com. Data sources
How often each seat elected the party with the most Lok Sabha seats that year. Only seats with at least 8 elections in the dataset are ranked. INC and INC(I) are treated as one party.
| Constituency | State | Matched | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Faridabad | Haryana | 13 of 13 | 100% |
| Mandla | Madhya Pradesh (1947-1999) | 12 of 12 | 100% |
| Mumbai North | Maharashtra | 8 of 8 | 100% |
| Karnal | Haryana | 14 of 15 | 93% |
| Durg | Madhya Pradesh (1947-1999) | 12 of 13 | 92% |
| East Delhi | Delhi | 12 of 13 | 92% |
| Jabalpur | Madhya Pradesh (1947-1999) | 11 of 12 | 92% |
| Raipur | Madhya Pradesh (1947-1999) | 11 of 12 | 92% |
| Almora | Uttar Pradesh (1947-1999) | 11 of 12 | 92% |
| Rae Bareli | Uttar Pradesh (1947-1999) | 11 of 12 | 92% |
| Betul | Madhya Pradesh (1947-1999) | 10 of 11 | 91% |
| Khandwa | Madhya Pradesh (1947-1999) | 10 of 11 | 91% |
| Tehri Garhwal | Uttar Pradesh (1947-1999) | 9 of 10 | 90% |
| Delhi Sadar | Delhi | 8 of 9 | 89% |
| Outer Delhi | Delhi | 8 of 9 | 89% |
| Mandi | Himachal Pradesh | 15 of 17 | 88% |
| Bilaspur | Madhya Pradesh (1947-1999) | 11 of 13 | 85% |
| Sagar | Madhya Pradesh (1947-1999) | 11 of 13 | 85% |
| Chandni Chowk | Delhi | 11 of 13 | 85% |
| Gurdaspur | Punjab | 15 of 18 | 83% |
| Allahabad | Uttar Pradesh (1947-1999) | 10 of 12 | 83% |
| Basti | Uttar Pradesh (1947-1999) | 10 of 12 | 83% |
| Bulsar | Gujarat | 10 of 12 | 83% |
| Bettiah | Bihar (1947-1999) | 9 of 11 | 82% |
| Damoh | Madhya Pradesh (1947-1999) | 9 of 11 | 82% |
| Rajnandgaon | Madhya Pradesh (1947-1999) | 9 of 11 | 82% |
| Dahanu | Maharashtra | 9 of 11 | 82% |
| Jamnagar | Gujarat | 13 of 16 | 81% |
| Jammu | Jammu & Kashmir | 12 of 15 | 80% |
| Udhampur | Jammu & Kashmir | 12 of 15 | 80% |
| Godda | Bihar (1947-1999) | 8 of 10 | 80% |
| Ranchi | Bihar (1947-1999) | 8 of 10 | 80% |
| Kanker | Madhya Pradesh (1947-1999) | 8 of 10 | 80% |
| Amethi | Uttar Pradesh (1947-1999) | 8 of 10 | 80% |
| Padrauna | Uttar Pradesh (1947-1999) | 8 of 10 | 80% |
| Robertsganj | Uttar Pradesh (1947-1999) | 8 of 10 | 80% |
| Hoshiarpur | Punjab | 14 of 18 | 78% |
| Seoni | Madhya Pradesh (1947-1999) | 7 of 9 | 78% |
| Dharwad North | Karnataka | 7 of 9 | 78% |
| Erandol | Maharashtra | 7 of 9 | 78% |
| Hoshangabad | Madhya Pradesh (1947-1999) | 10 of 13 | 77% |
| South Delhi | Delhi | 10 of 13 | 77% |
| New Delhi | Delhi | 10 of 13 | 77% |
| Porbandar | Gujarat | 10 of 13 | 77% |
| Pune | Maharashtra | 10 of 13 | 77% |
| Ajmer | Rajasthan | 13 of 17 | 76% |
| Amreli | Gujarat | 12 of 16 | 75% |
| Junagadh | Gujarat | 12 of 16 | 75% |
| Rajkot | Gujarat | 12 of 16 | 75% |
| Jalgaon | Maharashtra | 12 of 16 | 75% |
| Jalna | Maharashtra | 12 of 16 | 75% |
| Ganganagar | Rajasthan | 12 of 16 | 75% |
| Mahasamund | Madhya Pradesh (1947-1999) | 9 of 12 | 75% |
| Buxar | Bihar (1947-1999) | 9 of 12 | 75% |
| Palamau | Bihar (1947-1999) | 9 of 12 | 75% |
| Bhopal | Madhya Pradesh (1947-1999) | 9 of 12 | 75% |
| Indore | Madhya Pradesh (1947-1999) | 9 of 12 | 75% |
| Janjgir | Madhya Pradesh (1947-1999) | 9 of 12 | 75% |
| Shahdol | Madhya Pradesh (1947-1999) | 9 of 12 | 75% |
| Surguja | Madhya Pradesh (1947-1999) | 9 of 12 | 75% |
National largest party by year: 2024 BJP, 2019 BJP, 2014 BJP, 2009 INC, 2004 INC, 1999 BJP, 1998 BJP, 1996 BJP, 1991 INC, 1989 INC, 1984 INC, 1980 INC(I), 1977 BLD, 1971 INC, 1967 INC, 1962 INC, 1957 INC, 1952 INC.
Cite this page
VotingBharat.com. "Lok Sabha bellwether seats." https://votingbharat.com/insights/bellwethers/ (accessed 19 October 2026). Data: Election Commission of India via IndiaVotes.com.